SATURDAY FREE BETS 22/9/12

Ayr 3.30

Cheka 0.5 pt e/w @18/1 Hills (BOG 5 places 1/4 odds)
Morache Music 0.3 pt e/w @25/1 General (BOG 5 places 1/4 odds)
Boastful  0.3 pt pt e/w @281/1 Bet365 (BOG 5 places 1/4 odds)

All above have good form on a heavy/soft surface plus have competed at >= listed class. With 5 places available at a 1/4 odds the punters is given a mathematical advantage so some kind of e/w investment is justified regardless of the difficulty of nailing a winning selection.


Catterick 5.25

Summer Dance 0.8 pts win @9/2 Bet365(BOG)

Won recently and is now running of a rating significantly lower than a year ago. Could follow up here.


Cavelloman

Saturday Free Bet 8/9/12

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00



Just Lille 2 pts win @7/4(BOG)



Runners carrying higher weights in claimers do better than those carrying lower weights. But also with adjusted ORs this one looks well in apart from one runner Mesariya, who may be the lurker in the race(1st time hood).



Haydock 3.25

Ortensia 1pt @7/2 Betfred (BOG)

Earlier in the week I consider 2/1-5/2 too short. But now 7/2/100/30 represent a bit of value imo. Excuses have been made for her market rival. But looking at her record in Australia the mare could be even better over the extra furlong. Small bet justified here.

Cavelloman